Opinion: More on More At Four

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH — Spending tax dollars on preschool intervention for at-risk North Carolina children may be a worthwhile idea. In fact, I have long favored a carefully designed, carefully targeted early-childhood program as part of a comprehensive strategy for education reform. But this policy is not required by the state constitution – as a N.C. Court of Appeals panel has just ruled in a case about the program that used to be called More At Four and is now called North Carolina Pre-K.

Opinion: Time of the Session

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH — Don’t look now, but North Carolina seems to have survived a significant reduction in the duration of the state’s legislative sessions.

According to the official count, the 2011-12 biennium of the Republican-led General Assembly convened on January 26, 2011 and adjourned for good on July 3, 2012. In-between those dates were two regular sessions – the “long” session in 2011 and the “short” session in 2012 – plus several special sessions devoted to redistricting, veto overrides, or other matters.

Opinion: Standards Don’t Make the Grade

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH — Along with most other states, North Carolina is in the process of adopting new Common Core national standards for reading and mathematics. The good news is that the Common Core is much better than North Carolina’s previously reading and math standards. The bad news is that, at least in the area of math, the new standards are inadequate to the task of raising North Carolina’s math performance to that of the highest-performing states and nations.

Opinion: The Campaigns May Actually Matter

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

I’ve changed my mind about the 2012 campaigns for North Carolina governor. I now think they may actually matter.

Well, perhaps that’s not the best choice of words. The outcome of the governor’s race was always going to matter. If Pat McCrory wins, the likely result will be a unified Republican government in Raleigh for the first time since Reconstruction – and major initiatives in 2013 to rewrite the state’s tax code, restructure the state’s education system, and continue to reform the state’s regulatory process.

Opinion: Not-So-Great Rate Debate

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH — While hardball politics is not the place one should ever go looking for intellectual rigor, North Carolina’s political culture seems especially prone to hyperbole and silliness.

These characteristics were in full display when the news broke that the graduation rate in North Carolina schools had exceeded 80 percent for the first time. As recently as 2006, only two-thirds of freshmen completed high school in four years. For the 2011-12, the rate was 80.2 percent.

Opinion: Sorry to Ruin Your Day

By JOHN HOOD

John Hood

RALEIGH, N.C. — If during the past few years of fiscal instability, you consoled yourself with the fact that at least North Carolina’s pension fund for teachers and state employees was sound, I’m going to ruin your day.

 

Bond-rating agencies and regulators are about to change the system for evaluating state and local pension funds. Rather than use the average stock-market return to estimate the future returns of pension funds, they are going to use the average rate of return on bonds.

Opinion: What We Still Don’t Know

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

I have no problem offering electoral predictions. Until 2008, I had a fairly good record pegging races, and my 2010 predictions proved to be within a couple of seats of the actual congressional and legislative results. But President Obama’s autumn surge in North Carolina confounded my model in 2008, tossing many of my statewide predictions into the trash heap — no, make that the dung heap — of history.

Opinion: Why Politics Costs So Little

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH — American politicians, parties, and interest groups spend relatively little on their electoral campaigns. The side that spends the most money doesn’t always win. And if we really want to improve our political system, we’ll know we’re succeeding if total spending on campaigns goes way up.

If these propositions strike you as strange, I’m not surprised. They clash with years of relentless media spin and political agitation by those who want to socialize the financing of political campaigns (much as they want to further socialize the financing of health care and education).

Opinion: Rep. Hackney Lets It Slip

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH – I don’t often agree with Joe Hackney, the minority leader of the North Carolina House. A longtime Orange County representative who is retiring this year, Hackney previously served as majority leader and speaker. His political philosophy lies to the left not just of the overall House but also of the Democratic caucus.

Still, I’ve always respected Joe Hackney. Now I have reason to thank him.

Opinion: In the Taxpayers’ Interest

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH, N.C. – As the North Carolina House and Senate work out their differences over a 2012-13 spending plan, it’s not too early to be thinking about what the state’s fiscal policy choices will be in 2013.

There will be a new governor. There will be many new members of the General Assembly, although it seems likely that Republicans will retain control. I think 2013 may prove to be an opportune time for North Carolina to make fundamental changes in fiscal policy.

Opinion: Right Choice on Education

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH – If you say that North Carolina’s public schools are better than they used to be, you’ll get no argument from me.

A generation ago, educational attainment and quality in North Carolina ranked low by national standards. We had a low rate of high-school graduation. Our students ranked low in reading, math, and college readiness. In 1992, more than 60 percent of North Carolina students lacked even basic math skills.

Opinion: Is NC Back on Track?

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH, N.C. – North Carolina’s unemployment rate fell in April by three-tenths of a point, to 9.4 percent. Good news? Not really.

When interpreting government statistics, you have to look at the details, not just the top-line number. North Carolina’s April decline in unemployment was attributable entirely to people leaving the workforce, according to the seasonally adjusted figures. At 9.4 percent, our state still has one of the highest unemployment rates in the United States – a dubious distinction North Carolina can claim for virtually the entire period since the onset of the Great Recession.

Opinion: Still More Carolina Conceit

By JOHN HOOD

John Hood

RALEIGH, N.C. – North Carolina’s political culture is dysfunctional. No, I’m not just talking about sex scandals. These are merely a symptom of a more fundamental problem: arrogance.

North Carolina politicians exhibit a pretense of humility. They pretend to honor deeds over words, to “be rather than to seem” as the state motto puts it. They call their state “a vale of humility between two mountains of conceit,” meaning Virginia and South Carolina, even though it takes a fair amount of arrogance to say things like that.

Opinion: North Carolina’s Climate Improves

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH – Progressives make a point that conservatives ought to take to heart: taxes are far from the only factors that households and businesses take into consideration when deciding where to live, work, invest, shop, or create new businesses.

In other words, you can’t explain the performance of any economy simply on the basis of the prevailing tax rate. Some states and nations with above-average taxes have above-average growth rates. Some states and nations with below-average taxes have below-average growth rates.

Opinion: Protecting Rights Doesn’t Hurt Economy

By JOHN HOOD

John Hood

RALEIGH – After the U.S. Supreme Court declined to protect private property from unjust government confiscation in its 2005 Kelo decision, the backlash from Americans across the political spectrum led many states to strengthen their protections against the abuse of eminent domain – that is, the government’s power to condemn and acquire private land.

OPINION: Political Cooperation Isn’t Dead

By JOHN HOOD

John Hood

RALEIGH – It’s an election year, and both major political parties have an interest in accentuating the differences between Democratic and Republican candidates for governor, legislature, and other North Carolina offices.

But as a nonpolitician, I have an interest in promoting a broader understanding of North Carolina government among the general public. To that end, let’s consider a few policy areas where the two major parties have grown closer together, not further apart, over the past couple of years.

OPINION: North Carolina’s Real State Budget

John Hood

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH – If all you know about North Carolina’s state budget is what you see in headlines or hear in political ads, you don’t know enough. Most politicians and analysts talk only about the General Fund – the share of state spending paid for by North Carolina’s income tax, statewide sales tax, and a few other sources.

Opinion: Two Tries at the One Percent

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH – Although those involved may wish us to forget, there were actually two attempts over the past year to

John Hood

make a certain statistic, one percent, into a political cause here in North Carolina. Both flopped in telling ways.

The obvious example is the Occupy movement, which began on Wall Street but soon spread to Charlotte, Raleigh,Greensboro, and other North Carolina communities. Protesters rallied against crony capitalism, bailouts, and insider influence. So far, so good. Then the rallies turned into squalid camps of bums and professional agitators, with no coherent message or goals. That far, that bad.

Opinion: What Happened to the Jobs Debate?

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH – Remember when the Republican-crafted North Carolina budget passed over Gov. Beverly Perdue’s veto

John Hood

last summer? Liberal activists predicted economic disaster. By failing to extend a sales-tax increase, and by balancing the state’s General Fund with budget savings rather than tax increases, the General Assembly had supposedly damaged North Carolina’s job market by shoving tens of thousands of workers into unemployment.

Opinion: North Carolina’s Triple-Crown Election

By JOHN HOOD

RALEIGH – Despite his recent stumbles in Colorado and Minnesota, Mitt Romney is still the favorite to win the

John Hood

Republican nomination for president. As Democratic and Republican strategists begin to work on their general-election strategies, swing states such as North Carolina will be their main focus. But the presidential race, as important as it is, won’t be the only political story that focuses on battleground states.

Opinion: A Carolinian’s Growth Agenda

January 6, 2012

By JOHN HOOD

John Hood



RALEIGH – The president was personally liked. But his policies were failing. After initial signs of improvement, the economy again began to sputter. Job creation was virtually nonexistent. Programs meant to stimulate “aggregate demand” had in reality funded wasteful and politically connected projects. Millions of Americans feared for the future.

Opinion: Of Politicians Otherwise Occupied

John Hood

by John  Hood

If you are a current or prospective Democratic politician in North Carolina, I would expect that right about now you are either congratulating yourself for staying away from the Occupy This or That movement – or nervously trying to figure out how to distance yourself from the movement after the fact.

Opinion: Welcome Sign for Job Creators

John Hood

by John Hood

In the liberal imagination, conservatives oppose excessive government taxes and regulations because of their unwarranted faith in the competence, nobility, and perfect knowledge of business executives.

As with so many other figments of the liberal imagination, this image may tell you something about liberals but not much about how conservatives think. In reality, conservatives oppose excessive government taxes and regulations because we know full well that many business executives are incompetent, ignoble, and ignorant – and that politicians and regulators, being fellow human beings, are equally likely to be incompetent, ignoble, and ignorant.

Opinion: Time to Test Tillis’s Idea

John Hood

by John Hood

When during a recent speech House Speaker Thom Tillis endorsed the idea of drug testing for North Carolina welfare recipients, he set off a raging controversy.

The Mecklenburg Republican’s most-controversial suggestion wasn’t really about welfare families, actually, but about state employees. In response to an audience question, Tillis opened the door to random drug testing for state employees. He should immediately close that door – the idea is likely to be neither cost-effective nor consistent with privacy concerns.